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| tr:prediction [2010/06/23 16:05] – 57396 | tr:prediction [2012/04/29 12:50] – Homer-Simpson |
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| ====== Tahmin/Teşhis ====== | ====== Tahmin/Teşhis ====== |
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| {{ :prediction.jpg|Prognose}} | |
| {{:prediction.gif|Prognose}} Bu buton sizi tahmin ve teşhis sayfasına götürür. On this page an estimate is given of the skill-ratings that the player currently has - other comparative players, from the database, as well as coach and scout comments, plus Hattrick Youthclub's training speed calculations are incorporated into the process for producing these figures. Please note - at the inception of this database, there may not be enough comparative players and so the predictions will be less accurate but as more people register and use Hattrick Youthclub, the accuracy will quickly increase, due to the higher amounts of data available (so, please advertise our website with friends and acquaintances or in federations because it will then benefit you too).\\ | {{ :prediction1.png|Prognose}} |
| <note>If a player has had a weather event this performance will not be taken into account, only the best performances made under "normal" circumstances are used.</note> | {{:diagnosis.png|Prognose}}--- The Prediction/Diagnosis column shows an estimated figure based on the relevant skills and the respective position. For this calculation the database is scanned for comparable players - ones who have achieved a similar number of ‘Stars’ and are not contradictory with the known abilities of your players. For the default settings, we take the known skill levels (actual and potential) to make the base criteria. However, you can also make additional adjustments to further refine the prediction or to see how possible future skill changes may affect things.\\ |
| The "best" and the "worst" value (rating) a player has achieved are shown (or what the player can reach according to the comments and the, estimated, current value will be stated. Should this prediction be lowered because of coach or scout comments there will be an annotation in an additional column. | Please note - as more managers use this site, the number of players and their data increases and thus the accuracy of the prediction. (So, why not tell you friends and Federation members about the site)\\ |
| The information shown on this page shows what sale value might be expected,for the player, on the transfer market! | |
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| Furthermore, you can set a prediction probability (Accuracy of data basis) – the bigger the value selected, the more accurate the result. | The best (At best) and the worst (At worst) values are shown, which a comparable player has reached (that is, the value that the mentioned player can reach based upon his revealed skills). Then the expected value that the player actually has (estimated value) is shown. You can also see the estimated value of the player, on the transfer market. \\ |
| \\ | A probability forecast, is also shown; the greater the value of this forecast, the higher the accuracy is! |
| The accuracy is calculated as follows:\\ | The probability forecast is calculated as follows:\\ |
| ((data base accuracy)*(number of comparative players)³)/100\\ | ((Accuracy of the database)*(Comparable number of players)³)/100 |
| | <note>If, during a match, a player has a weather event then this performance is not taken into account, only the best performances that were achieved under 'normal' conditions are used.</note> |
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| \\ | <note tip>Kılavuza [[tr:manual|buradan]] ulaşabilirsiniz!</note> |
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| <note tip>Kılavuz için [[tr:manual|burayı]] tıklayınız!</note> | |
